Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?

Prediction markets currently give a 33% probability that Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?. This contract trades at 33¢ on Polymarket, closing June 15, 2026.

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33¢
Bid/Ask 1/65¢·Spread 64¢·Vol $0·OI $204.01·Closes Jun 15, 2026·47d remaining
0xff2f43e71542141c70b5d0112185c60c0cf79c32361c7e259cc7c14d194d8ec5
7-day price1284 snapshots · 3 regime
50¢29¢ current
Apr 80¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Puducherry, India, in April–June 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2011.0%
IY (No) 304.1%
Adj IY 1006%
CRI 3
Overround 0.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2011.0%
IY (No)304.1%
Adj IY1006%
CRI3
Overround0.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
64¢
Computed
4/29/2026, 8:00:48 AM
Indicators computed 4/29/2026, 7:53:14 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xff2f43e71542141c70b5d0112185c60c0cf79c32361c7e259cc7c14d194d8ec5 yes 100

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