SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 6, 20263 days left

San Diego wins by over 1.5 runs?

This contract is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

45¢
$8K volume
$6K liquidity
88% of event volume

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$9K

Best sibling

San Diego wins by over 3.5 runs 24¢

Ticker

KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031610CWSSD-SD2

Price history

45¢ current

+5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 2, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

43 / 45¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
43¢77K
42¢38K
41¢2.6K
40¢469
39¢55
AskSize
45¢84K
46¢96K
47¢21K
48¢191
49¢55

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If San Diego wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Chicago WS vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 3, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 6, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031610CWSSD-SD2

Event family

KXMLBSPREAD-26MAY031610CWSSD.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$9K

Outcomes

6

Highest price

San Diego wins by over 1.5 runs 44¢

Current share

86%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

1

VR

0.16

IAR

0.7/h

Overround

0.6%

LAS

0.05

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1
VR
0.16
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
0.6%
LAS
0.05

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinionessay

Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders

Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index