Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 7% probability that Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?. This contract trades at 7¢ on Polymarket, closing June 2, 2026.

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7¢
Bid/Ask 6/7¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $1,596.063·OI $18,171.56·Closes Jun 2, 2026·41d remaining
0xbd0c2d5f58650e031aba69b54529cf1e85f1f73622530b53b0d261063627c64d
7-day price153 snapshots · 24 regime
23¢7¢ current
Apr 83¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 7¢0¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.88IY 2477.0%Close-time delta 3711h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 11784.1%
IY (No) 66.8%
Adj IY 5892%
CRI 13
Overround -0.0%
LAS 0.00
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)11784.1%
IY (No)66.8%
Adj IY5892%
CRI13
Overround-0.0%
LAS0.00

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:25:37 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xbd0c2d5f58650e031aba69b54529cf1e85f1f73622530b53b0d261063627c64d yes 100

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