When will Glean IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that When will Glean IPO?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Kalshi, closing May 1, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $6 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 23¢ price potentially unreliable as a probability estimate.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $6 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 23¢ price potentially unreliable as a probability estimate. The 385% implied yield on the Yes side and 9¢ spread suggest significant uncertainty and limited market depth, though the 379-day timeframe provides reasonable runway for an IPO event. The recent price decline from 22¢ to 20¢ over seven days indicates modest bearish pressure, though the thin liquidity makes directional signals difficult to interpret with confidence.
Resolution rules
If Glean confirms an IPO before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPOGLEAN-27MAY01 yes 100