When will Ramp IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that When will Ramp IPO?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Kalshi, closing June 1, 2026. This market is severely illiquid with only $8 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 12,656% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical and unreliable for actual trading.
Analysis
This market is severely illiquid with only $8 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 12,656% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical and unreliable for actual trading. The 6% probability reflects minimal market conviction, though the 45-day timeframe to expiry is still substantial enough that a Ramp IPO announcement remains possible. The extreme yield asymmetry and wide 3¢ spread suggest this is a speculative position holder's market rather than an efficient price discovery mechanism.
Resolution rules
If Ramp confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPORAMP-26JUN01 yes 100