SimpleFunctions
PolymarketDec 31, 2026241 days left

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?

This contract is priced at 24¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 21¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

24¢
$54K volume
$15K liquidity
21% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$263K

Best sibling

Pakistan 15¢

Ticker

0xcc9b5eb0…807d

Price history

24¢ current

+2¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

21 / 26¢

Polymarket
5¢ spread
BidSize
21¢79
20¢613
19¢53
18¢232
17¢600
11¢419
10¢179
9¢1.2K
AskSize
26¢12
28¢47
29¢28
30¢292
31¢100
34¢200
42¢100
43¢611

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0xcc9b5eb0…807d

Event family

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$263K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Canada 47¢

Current share

21%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

South Korea

polymarket · 0xcc9b5eb0fb5b7fa763bee8c0d37cb4559a8cc0336dce6dc34b54d072720c807d

24¢$54K$00.2

Pakistan

polymarket · 0x85ad30282d095dd426c2b8c61a0f12c5fd1e751d1dd30830351001ced5fda42e

15¢$71K$00.3

India

polymarket · 0x533aab0d99851ea6dccf14861b8b7bb5026a40a15718769f8cc519d93380b391

22¢$38K$250.1

Taiwan

polymarket · 0x42520d88b4fa9d58ea74d3579b14398e76873a88c09bbfc9e0e801694a547d5c

16¢$32K$81.0

Argentina

polymarket · 0x2b23c92cb20b728bb52e34d431dd982ceb907a4ab255f7412776e8163ca89fe5

16¢$20K$00.4

Indonesia

polymarket · 0xffe86f7d81d3834d1a9f71c7d9700c62d53bc051f0fcd6efbadeb1c26c48837a

13¢$19K$0

European Union

polymarket · 0xdb3df04fc73bd716ab5619aebaaaa42a85c10b0faed27b654b5e5ec5714f500f

6¢$7K$1K0.2

Vietnam

polymarket · 0xd60f9b0c5ce8c507e463731b67017dec027eea02bf4bfd3c3dccb364fc2262b7

14¢$5K$0

Japan

polymarket · 0xfe61b06cd6643f489a4781a327cdf06bfd639e95151d938c801758a4bea41b73

30¢$5K$27

Brazil

polymarket · 0x66cbd462cd4e08dacb506dcc0df32b8a7ccf29d1c2f039f85e36eb768026b729

15¢$3K$0

Canada

polymarket · 0x81e8f9fd1c08c597b716ea800a97c6d04d60c985a2c388bc6d77a0f85e643df8

47¢$2K$00.3

Russia

polymarket · 0x5b2d1c35c4510f926d8d026b61ed29816485c1cef9051a251e4b8672026075da

12¢$2K$00.4

Australia

polymarket · 0x7531c660ca20317d50ca9dd3a3b1df7659509bb6a415ac1f026c63be5061afb3

13¢$2K$0

Mexico

polymarket · 0x5cbca9adf861c7096259efa6ebaba8e69e90f00b8e5f77b272ed13070f9a2ee7

28¢$2K$0

United Kingdom

polymarket · 0xdabf29e1d9a73105559248dc8cae409e87f7affb1f15ad39660ec2a4c6e6fed7

26¢$419$0

South Africa

polymarket · 0xc77d51450d7d97d1239b003889d0899410c68c383378d65aabf04b77666a4488

16¢$354$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

478.8%

IY (No)

47.7%

Adj IY

399%

CRI

3

RV

541%

VR

2.52

Regime

neutral

Score

0.477

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

478.8%
47.7%
Adj IY
399%
3
RV
541%
VR
2.52
IAR
2.0/h
Overround
2.3%
LAS
0.17

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