Will Serghei Spivac be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 15% probability that Will Serghei Spivac be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 15¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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15¢
Bid/Ask 1/30¢·Spread 29¢·Vol $0·OI $2,462.007·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0x2b123cb5f0ef2453fae87e585be56296e5016ec9ffa4264b80cbd6eedfb96c97
7-day price19 snapshots · 2 regime
16¢15¢ current
Apr 1313¢Apr 17

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Indicators

IY (Yes) 817.0%
IY (No) 25.4%
Adj IY 409%
CRI 6
Overround 1.4%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)817.0%
IY (No)25.4%
Adj IY409%
CRI6
Overround1.4%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
29¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:23:52 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x2b123cb5f0ef2453fae87e585be56296e5016ec9ffa4264b80cbd6eedfb96c97 yes 100

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