Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 17% probability that Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?. This contract trades at 17¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026. The 11% price reflects extremely low conviction in a Trump-MrBeast meeting, with the Yes side offering an outsized 1,144.6% implied yield that suggests significant underpricing relative to the risk-adjusted return of 572%.
Analysis
The 11% price reflects extremely low conviction in a Trump-MrBeast meeting, with the Yes side offering an outsized 1,144.6% implied yield that suggests significant underpricing relative to the risk-adjusted return of 572%. Volume is thin at $212.25 over 24 hours against $11.5K open interest, indicating limited liquidity and potential for sharp repricing if either party signals interest in meeting, though the 258-day timeframe and neutral regime score suggest the market is fairly stable absent new information.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x498ffa5e6c0d68092e0881a59c7ea4cf4b940874fd697e22f6e25b843aa692ce yes 100