Who will win 2026 Georgia Secretary of State Republican primary?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Who will win 2026 Georgia Secretary of State Republican primary?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2026. This market on Kelvin King shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $113 open interest, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.
Analysis
This market on Kelvin King shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $113 open interest, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 6¢ spread is notably wide relative to the contract value, and the astronomical 4408.8% implied yield on the Yes side suggests either severe mispricing or minimal market confidence in King's candidacy. With 199 days to expiration and a moderate cliff risk index of 24, this contract appears to be a speculative long-shot bet with minimal liquidity for entry or exit.
Resolution rules
If Kelvin King wins 2026 Georgia Secretary of State Republican primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXGASOSR-26-KKIN yes 100