Will Colorado Avalanche win 4-3 in the Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 15% probability that Will Colorado Avalanche win 4-3 in the Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playo.... This contract trades at 15¢ on Kalshi, closing May 17, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 24,865% implied yield on the Yes side.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 24,865% implied yield on the Yes side. The 12¢ spread is unusually wide for such a specific outcome, and the sharp 10¢ price decline over seven days suggests either declining conviction or minimal trading activity driving the movement. With 28 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 19, this contract carries significant tail risk and should be treated as a highly speculative, potentially mispriced position rather than a genuine market signal.
Resolution rules
If the series score is Colorado Avalanche wins 4-3 in the Los Angeles Kings vs Colorado Avalanche 1st Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
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sf trade KXNHLSERIESSCORE-26LACOLR1-COL43 yes 100