SimpleFunctions
KalshiJul 1, 202659 days left

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Jul 1, 2026?

This contract is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

10¢
$4K volume
$3K liquidity
4402% of event volume

Event outcomes

3

Family volume

$100

Best sibling

Before Nov 4, 2026 27¢

Ticker

KXELECTIONEMERGENCY-26JUL01

Price history

10¢ current

+4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

6 / 11¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
6¢16
5¢100
3¢91
3¢200
2¢515
AskSize
11¢177
12¢100
13¢100
15¢200
24¢16

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

KXELECTIONEMERGENCY-26JUL01

Event family

Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$100

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Before Nov 4, 2026 27¢

Current share

19%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

9767.2%

IY (No)

39.8%

Adj IY

814%

CRI

16

Overround

-0.5%

LAS

0.83

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

high

Event type

political

Full indicator table

9767.2%
39.8%
Adj IY
814%
16
Overround
-0.5%
LAS
0.83

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