Will End of Beginning be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 15% probability that Will End of Beginning be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs USA chart on the date th.... This contract trades at 15¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $8 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 15¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $8 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 15¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 801% implied yield on the Yes side is artificially inflated due to the microscopic position size and wide 6¢ spread, suggesting this is more of a novelty listing than an actively traded prediction. With 258 days until expiry and no information on "End of Beginning" or its current streaming trajectory, the low probability appears to reflect genuine uncertainty rather than informed market consensus.
Resolution rules
If End of Beginning is the #3 most streamed Song on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPSONGTHIRDUSA-26-END yes 100