Will Golden be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Golden be the #3 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs USA chart on the date that the cha.... This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market displays extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and minimal open interest of just $281.29, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable for actual execution.
Analysis
This market displays extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and minimal open interest of just $281.29, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable for actual execution. The massive 2685.7% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the ultra-low probability pricing rather than genuine market conviction, while the 8¢ spread indicates significant bid-ask uncertainty. With 258 days until expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 19, this contract carries meaningful uncertainty around both the song's streaming performance and the exact release date of Spotify Wrapped 2026.
Resolution rules
If Golden is the #3 most streamed Song on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs USA chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPSONGTHIRDUSA-26-GOL yes 100