Will Evan Mobley be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 2nd Team?
Prediction markets currently give a 15% probability that Will Evan Mobley be selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Defensive 2nd Team?. This contract trades at 15¢ on Kalshi, closing June 30, 2026. The market has experienced significant downward price pressure, declining 43% over seven days from 21¢ to 12¢, suggesting deteriorating confidence in Mobley's All-Defensive 2nd Team selection odds.
Analysis
The market has experienced significant downward price pressure, declining 43% over seven days from 21¢ to 12¢, suggesting deteriorating confidence in Mobley's All-Defensive 2nd Team selection odds. The 20¢ current price reflects extremely thin liquidity with only $9 in 24-hour volume and $142 open interest, creating a wide 7¢ spread that limits reliable price discovery. The astronomical 3591% implied yield on the Yes side indicates the market may be mispriced due to illiquidity, though the elevated Cliff Risk Index of 7 suggests elevated uncertainty about resolution mechanics or late-breaking information.
Resolution rules
If Evan Mobley is selected to the 2025-26 Pro Basketball All-Defensive 2nd Team, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBA2NDTEAMDEF-26-EMOB yes 100