Will Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez Palomino be the nominees in the 2026 Peru presidential election?
KXPERUPRESMATCHUP-26APR-KFUJRPAL · closes Apr 12, 2027 · 362 days remaining
Price
Last
70¢
Bid
70¢
Ask
75¢
Spread
5¢
24h Volume
$13,744
Open Interest
$28,595
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 45.2% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 224.1% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 2 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | — | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.03 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 4611% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 18.46 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 2.8/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 218% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
146 indicator snapshots · 21 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.409
Label
neutral
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/15/2026, 2:32:10 AM
About this market
If Keiko Fujimori and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance in the 2026 Peru presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXPERUPRESMATCHUP-26APR-KFUJRPAL yes 100