Will Man I Need be #4 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of May 2, 2026
Prediction markets currently give a 94% probability that Will Man I Need be #4 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of May 2, 2026. This contract trades at 94¢ on Kalshi, closing April 27, 2026. This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 97¢ price potentially unreliable despite the high implied probability.
Analysis
This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 97¢ price potentially unreliable despite the high implied probability. The massive 100,000% implied yield on the "No" side and $0 volume suggest this is likely a stale or abandoned position rather than an actively traded market. With just 7 days until expiry and a moderate cliff risk index of 32, traders should be cautious about the pricing accuracy given the negligible liquidity.
Resolution rules
If Man I Need by Olivia Dean is ranked #4 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of May 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXBBCHARTPOSITIONSONG-26MAY02MAN-4 yes 100