Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will Misa Esports win the Misa Esports vs. Clair Obscur CS2 match?"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 72¢ (72% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 6, 2026. 15 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "Will Misa Esports win the Misa Esports vs. Clair Obscur CS2 match?"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2551.4% and 2355.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "Will Misa Esports win the Misa Esports vs. Clair Obscur CS2 match?"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	2551.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	2355.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1276%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution

Will Misa Esports win the Misa Esports vs. Clair Obscur CS2 match?

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions