Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will the Bank of Japan hike more than 25bps at the April 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 6¢ (6% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 28, 2026. 6 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "Will the Bank of Japan hike more than 25bps at the April 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 90522.9% and 368.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "Will the Bank of Japan hike more than 25bps at the April 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	90522.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	368.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	7545%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	16	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
LAS	0.83	Liquidity Availability Score

Will the Bank of Japan hike more than 25bps at the April 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?

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