Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.56 on Apr 30?

KXH200MON-26APR30-2.560 · closes May 1, 2026 · 16 days remaining

Price

Last
88¢
Bid
82¢
Ask
92¢
Spread
10¢
24h Volume
$304.81
Open Interest
$385.77

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)501.9%Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)10416.4%Annualized return on the NO side
CRI5Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
Overround31.6%Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS0.12Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RV15211%Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VR9.03Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR0.4/hInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IY9146%Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

7-Day History

36 indicator snapshots · 5 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
10¢
Computed
4/15/2026, 4:59:54 AM

About this market

If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.56 on Apr 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

How to trade

View on kalshi: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXH200MON-26APR30-2.560 yes 100

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