Will the minimum temperature be >32° on Apr 21, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 92% probability that Will the minimum temperature be >32° on Apr 21, 2026?. This contract trades at 92¢ on Kalshi, closing April 22, 2026.
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92¢Bid/Ask 94/96¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $1,785.6·OI $1,618.63·Closes Apr 22, 2026·0d remaining
KXLOWTBOS-26APR21-T32
7-day price95 snapshots · 17 regime
97¢92¢ current
Apr 2015¢Apr 21
Resolution rules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Boston for Apr 21, 2026, is greater than 32° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
▶ Full indicator table (3)▼ Full indicator table (3)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Adj IY | 47285% |
| CRI | 12 |
| LAS | 0.05 |
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:34:45 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXLOWTBOS-26APR21-T32 yes 100