Will the minimum temperature be 48-49° on Apr 21, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 31% probability that Will the minimum temperature be 48-49° on Apr 21, 2026?. This contract trades at 31¢ on Kalshi, closing April 22, 2026.
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31¢Bid/Ask 27/33¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $177.12·OI $131.12·Closes Apr 22, 2026·0d remaining
KXLOWTSEA-26APR21-B48.5
7-day price105 snapshots · 1 regime
51¢27¢ current
Apr 202¢Apr 21
Resolution rules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Seattle for Apr 21, 2026, is between 48-49° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
▶ Full indicator table (5)▼ Full indicator table (5)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Adj IY | >100,000% |
| CRI | 3 |
| RV | 3058% |
| VR | 0.56 |
| IAR | 3.6/h |
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
6¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:39:17 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:38:18 PM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXLOWTSEA-26APR21-B48.5 yes 100