Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Apr 21, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 66% probability that Will the minimum temperature be 50-51° on Apr 21, 2026?. This contract trades at 66¢ on Kalshi, closing April 22, 2026.
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66¢Bid/Ask 66/70¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $273.09·OI $213.09·Closes Apr 22, 2026·0d remaining
KXLOWTSEA-26APR21-B50.5
7-day price108 snapshots · 2 regime
74¢66¢ current
Apr 202¢Apr 21
Resolution rules
If the minimum temperature recorded at Seattle for Apr 21, 2026, is between 50-51° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
▶ Full indicator table (6)▼ Full indicator table (6)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Adj IY | 72730% |
| CRI | 2 |
| RV | 4939% |
| VR | 1.00 |
| IAR | 3.6/h |
| LAS | 0.27 |
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:39:18 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:38:18 PM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXLOWTSEA-26APR21-B50.5 yes 100