Crypto / Bitcoin · Will Trump say "
Crypto / Bitcoin is priced at 39¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 18¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 13 inside Will Trump say ".
Price history
39¢ current
−18¢Contract brief
If Crypto / Bitcoin, or a plural or possessive form of Crypto / Bitcoin, is stated by Donald Trump before Jun 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Crypto / Bitcoin
Rank
#2 of 13
Leader
Greenland 20¢
Range
2¢-20¢
Family volume
$12K
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-CRYP
May 25, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
19¢
Ask
37¢
Spread
18¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#2 of 13
13 outcomes · Will Trump say "
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Family volume
$12K
Orderbook snapshot
19 / 37¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Crypto / Bitcoin, or a plural or possessive form of Crypto / Bitcoin, is stated by Donald Trump before Jun 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-CRYP
Event family
Will Trump say ".
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$12K
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Greenland 20¢
Current share
29%
Greenland
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-GREE
Crypto / Bitcoin
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-CRYP
Epstein
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-EPST
Goat
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-GOAT
Nine War / Ninth War
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-NINE
Turning Point
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-TURN
Pelosi
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-PELO
Make Iran Great Again
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-MAKE
Third Term
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-THIR
Moscow
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-MOSC
Stimulus
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-STIM
Epstein Island
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-EPSTI
Discombobulator
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-DISC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.