What is the current probability for "Will Trump say "Nine War / Ninth War" before Jun 1, 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 78¢ (78% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on June 1, 2026. 29 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Trump say "Nine War / Ninth War" before Jun 1, 2026?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1218.7% and 1320.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Trump say "Nine War / Ninth War" before Jun 1, 2026?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

KalshiJun 1, 202629 days left

Will Trump say "Nine War / Ninth War" before Jun 1, 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

This contract is priced at 78¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 51¢ bid, 77¢ ask, 26¢ spread.

Open on Kalshi JSON + orderbook Enter terminal

Implied probability

78¢

$344 volume

$260 liquidity

1% of event volume

Event outcomes

Family volume

$42K

Best sibling

Dead Country 99¢

Ticker

KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-NINE

Price history

78¢ current

+73¢

May 1, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

51 / 77¢

Kalshi

26¢ spread

BidSize

51¢5

50¢5

49¢31

48¢50

28¢8

AskSize

77¢5

78¢58

84¢222

85¢16

88¢25

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Nine War / Ninth War, or a plural or possessive form of Nine War / Ninth War, is stated by Donald Trump before Jun 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-NINE

Event family

Will Trump say ".

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$42K

Outcomes

Highest price

Dead Country 99¢

Current share

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Nine War / Ninth War

kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-NINE

51¢$304$304—

Dead Country

kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-DEAD