Greenland · Will Trump say "
Greenland is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 13 inside Will Trump say ".
Price history
20¢ current
+15¢Contract brief
If Greenland, or a plural or possessive form of Greenland, is stated by Donald Trump before Jun 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Greenland
Rank
#1 of 13
Leader
Greenland 20¢
Range
2¢-20¢
Family volume
$12K
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-GREE
May 25, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
20¢
Ask
23¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 13
13 outcomes · Will Trump say "
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Family volume
$12K
Orderbook snapshot
20 / 23¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Greenland, or a plural or possessive form of Greenland, is stated by Donald Trump before Jun 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 1, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-GREE
Event family
Will Trump say ".
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$12K
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Greenland 20¢
Current share
16%
Greenland
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-GREE
Crypto / Bitcoin
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-CRYP
Epstein
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-EPST
Nine War / Ninth War
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-NINE
Make Iran Great Again
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-MAKE
Goat
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-GOAT
Pelosi
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-PELO
Turning Point
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-TURN
Third Term
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-THIR
Moscow
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-MOSC
Stimulus
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-STIM
Epstein Island
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-EPSTI
Discombobulator
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYMONTH-26JUN01-DISC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.