Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 96% probability that Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?. This contract trades at 96¢ on Polymarket.

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96¢
Bid/Ask 95/97¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $23,396.017·195d remaining
0xa7ff180532ac8e0a5efa29eeee07fc8cfdc0cd3bd830ef93b5ca53cbb9922633
7-day price66 snapshots · 3 regime
96¢96¢ current
Apr 992¢Apr 18

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Indicators

IY (No) 4488.8%
Adj IY 2244%
CRI 24
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)7.8%
IY (No)4488.8%
Adj IY2244%
CRI24

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.477
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:24:09 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xa7ff180532ac8e0a5efa29eeee07fc8cfdc0cd3bd830ef93b5ca53cbb9922633 yes 100

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