Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
This contract is priced at 2¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$48.9M
Best sibling
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026 7¢
Ticker
0xc4eef02c…1949
Price history
2¢ current
+1¢Orderbook snapshot
2 / 2¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0xc4eef02c…1949
Event family
China / Taiwan.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$48.9M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Xi Jinping 96¢
Current share
0%
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027
polymarket · 0xc4eef02c621d3e8e506400736f327f0e71f0fafa4bc48e72c7b712b0982d1949
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026
polymarket · 0xd9fb1184af0064e5e34b129f5b79afa5a17b7e32f2953ab05efed82315fee6d4
Xi Jinping out before 2027
polymarket · 0xa467b14d51f01b957109d9cbb1d6c124fab2a089d52ed8f471d23c2812e743b7
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026
polymarket · 0xa0b56d7e621c7cbcfa47fe1a9c24f3409e189180fd6bda55b7a8113129839afc
Xi Jinping out by June 30
polymarket · 0x4ba35ccd015e3899f323b7b0bcb38ecab3a3c0fafc397666e690ba301fbeff30
China invades Taiwan
polymarket · 0x7b49b9bacb5f435bc10f3b100ff59e2fdd346f7f92a9001881bc9825a0af0f11
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027
polymarket · 0x4c80df6f557bb0b9de08c0301ebdce500dd9bdc58400d9269fb8fab1709ed584
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30
polymarket · 0xb215decbedd846168842f6e207f09bd5f50ce51d2191f238887d976ec21b6f66
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Xi Jinping
polymarket · 0x7f347ed733252dc7afbd91e28104e23651b81ef6d2ef6805c7915c22e89a69b5
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026
polymarket · 0x5ca616aaa0e1e5df6c38439f8bee4b96bacfe32f8f39cb2f1604c0196548662f
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027
polymarket · 0xe6d5e5da83874cd82c9b651a8a5d4fc541a800a295fb62e85124b4f5a04a4b7d
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027
polymarket · 0x057da165b096d1f3a59d87bcad68649aecd18dc25c89a6d083530d1aaac18146
June 30
polymarket · 0x0a41fdad163a6627011670f3825b0a7ba6846898edd967bf99e35edaf8e01c39
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027
polymarket · 0xd7e906eaec2c7f66697447785aa1d4fdaa82f536ca533a2bc0d3535b04e832ec
Taiwan
polymarket · 0x4eea504d6a9a609f2e6fe6b88de6327755282192ebbae4b3b170eac91b611214
Xi Jinping
polymarket · 0x3d6148ee5b42224e83416e728fa2df2242ecb1e025782bece2d4f5b45a2ab987
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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