NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?
Leader sits at 94% across 7 bound outcomes, runner-up at 93%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
55B
Outcomes
7
winner-take-all
Runner-up
93¢
50B
Spread
1pp
contested
24h volume
$8
thin orderbook
Closes
May 27, 2026
18 days
Venue
Polymarket
7 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1
NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?: 50B
0x54368a…789c
NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?: 75B
0x644dd4…6e5f
NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?: 70B
0x33cc64…158d
NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?: 65B
0xcaba93…7c19
NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?: 55B
0x8f4ec0…817b
NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?: 80B
0x1604fa…ec25
NVIDIA Data Center Revenue above __ in Q1?: 60B
0xe69751…0174
What moved the line
- May 870B↑18pp61→79¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 4 min ago.