Carabobo FC vs. CA River Plate - More Markets
Leader sits at 66% across 8 bound outcomes, runner-up at 46%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
O/U 1.5
Outcomes
8
winner-take-all
Runner-up
46¢
Both Teams to Score
Spread
20pp
contested
24h volume
$2K
modest
Closes
May 8, 2026
0 days
Venue
Polymarket
8 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Carabobo FC vs. CA River Plate - More Markets
Carabobo FC vs. CA River Plate - More Markets: O/U 4.5
0xbe86c8…2241
Carabobo FC vs. CA River Plate - More Markets: Both Teams to Score
0x339694…f13d
Carabobo FC vs. CA River Plate - More Markets: O/U 2.5
0x0dad36…f6ab
Carabobo FC vs. CA River Plate - More Markets: Carabobo FC (-1.5)
0x9ccf86…af25
Carabobo FC vs. CA River Plate - More Markets: CA River Plate (-1.5)
0xf10e92…f1e8
Carabobo FC vs. CA River Plate - More Markets: O/U 3.5
0xc187e1…7752
Carabobo FC vs. CA River Plate - More Markets: O/U 1.5
0x1d2dd0…61fc
Carabobo FC vs. CA River Plate - More Markets: CA River Plate (-2.5)
0xb0a01e…9d81
What moved the line
- May 8O/U 1.5↓12pp66→54¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Carabobo FC (-1.5)↑11pp6→17¢ · Polymarket
- May 8CA River Plate (-2.5)↑9pp8→17¢ · Polymarket
- May 8Both Teams to Score↓7pp44→37¢ · Polymarket
- May 8CA River Plate (-1.5)↑6pp23→29¢ · Polymarket
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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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In general
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: 2 h ago.