Singapore vs. China PR
Leader sits at 61% across 3 bound outcomes, runner-up at 24%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
China PR
Outcomes
3
winner-take-all
Runner-up
24¢
Draw (Singapore vs. China PR
Spread
37pp
contested
24h volume
$6K
modest
Closes
—
not derived
Venue
Polymarket
3 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Singapore vs. China PR
What moved the line
- Jun 2Draw (Singapore vs. China PR)↓12pp38→26¢ · Polymarket
- Jun 5China PR↑11pp63→74¢ · Polymarket
- Jun 4China PR↓10pp73→63¢ · Polymarket
- Jun 2Singapore↓9pp32→23¢ · Polymarket
- Jun 3Singapore↓9pp23→14¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in china
- Singapore vs. China PR - Halftime Resultlast 45% · 1d
- Singapore vs. China PR - More Marketslast 95% · 1d
- Singapore vs. China PR - Exact Scorelast 14% · 1d
- Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 52.0last 93% · 7d
- Volvo China Openyeslast 70% · 9d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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