Singapore vs. China PR - Exact Score
Leader sits at 14% across 13 bound outcomes, runner-up at 13%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
Exact Score: Any Other Score
Outcomes
13
winner-take-all
Runner-up
13¢
Exact Score: 0-1
Spread
1pp
contested
24h volume
$410
thin orderbook
Closes
—
not derived
Venue
Polymarket
13 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
Singapore vs. China PR - Exact Score: Exact Score
Singapore vs. China PR - Exact Score: Exact Score: 0-0
0xb5fc34…a4e6
Singapore vs. China PR - Exact Score: Exact Score: 2-1
0x53b69a…83c1
Singapore vs. China PR - Exact Score: Exact Score: 1-0
0x20b78e…38c1
Singapore vs. China PR - Exact Score: Exact Score: 2-2
0x45573a…627b
Singapore vs. China PR - Exact Score: Exact Score: 1-2
0x199e32…3b38
Singapore vs. China PR - Exact Score: Exact Score: 0-2
0x7c5d42…74bf
Singapore vs. China PR - Exact Score: Exact Score: 1-1
0x0bf0d7…df00
Singapore vs. China PR - Exact Score: Exact Score: 1-3
0xa4d78b…d2c6
Singapore vs. China PR - Exact Score: Exact Score: 0-3
0x294080…e0f8
Singapore vs. China PR - Exact Score: Exact Score: 2-0
0x2eb9ec…9731
Singapore vs. China PR - Exact Score: Exact Score: 0-1
0xb6dcb3…a134
Singapore vs. China PR - Exact Score: Exact Score: Any Other Score
0x59781f…10a8
Singapore vs. China PR - Exact Score: Exact Score: 2-3
0x72ec19…95f5
Analysis
This contract assigns a 23% probability to a specific final score in a Singapore vs. China PR football match, with the most heavily weighted outcome being a 1-0 result. The probability reflects genuine uncertainty about the match outcome rather than a balanced assessment—market participants are pricing distinct score lines individually across 17 separate contracts, meaning no single outcome commands majority confidence. The current leader at 23% suggests bettors see moderate but not dominant odds for that particular scoreline. Key drivers include team form, defensive strength, expected goal creation, and typical scoring patterns in similar matchups. Match resolution will occur on the scheduled game date, at which point all competing score predictions will be definitively settled against the actual result. Until then, probability shifts would likely reflect updated team news, injury reports, or tactical information that alters expectations about scoring likelihood.
- ›The leading contract (23%) represents one of 17 discrete outcome buckets; no single score commands majority market confidence, indicating genuine forecast dispersion
- ›Low contract volumes ($60 24h across top contracts) and penny-level pricing suggest thin liquidity and potentially volatile probability swings from small position changes
- ›The second-place outcome stands 11 percentage points lower (12%), indicating significant disagreement among participants about which score is most likely
- ›Typical defensive/offensive capabilities of both teams determine realistic score ranges; outcomes clustered at low totals (0-0, 1-0, 2-1) suggest expectation of a closely contested, low-scoring match
- ›Match resolution is binary and final—the actual game result will immediately settle all 17 contracts, leaving no ambiguity about winners and losers
What moved the line
- Jun 4Exact Score: Any Other Score↓30pp44→14¢ · Polymarket
- Jun 5Exact Score: Any Other Score↑16pp14→30¢ · Polymarket
- Jun 5Exact Score: 1-2↑7pp12→19¢ · Polymarket
- Jun 5Exact Score: 0-0↑4pp5→9¢ · Polymarket
- Jun 5Exact Score: 0-2↑4pp13→17¢ · Polymarket
Recently closed in china
- Singapore vs. China PRlast 61% · 1d
- Singapore vs. China PR - Halftime Resultlast 45% · 1d
- Singapore vs. China PR - More Marketslast 95% · 1d
- Will China NBS manufacturing PMI for May 2026 be above 52.0last 93% · 7d
- Volvo China Openyeslast 70% · 9d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
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