Simple Functions

Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Prediction markets currently give a 8% probability that Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?. This contract trades at 8¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2025.

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8¢
Bid/Ask 8/8¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $93.13·OI $2,307.149·Closes Dec 31, 2025
0x059bcc0713a72d956f501c1bed124f71a33e4108952ba99aca693ebfe26986cc
7-day price115 snapshots
18¢8¢ current
Apr 87¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 7¢(Δ +1¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.88IY 1911.6%Close-time delta 8775h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.432
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 11:04:52 PM
Observability mediumEvent type unknown

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x059bcc0713a72d956f501c1bed124f71a33e4108952ba99aca693ebfe26986cc yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →