Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 7% probability that Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?. This contract trades at 7¢ on Polymarket, closing June 2, 2026.

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7¢
Bid/Ask 5/10¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $139.12·OI $17,176.128·Closes Jun 2, 2026·41d remaining
0x1d019f06ed90710a2defd8d71224a1d36a30293aeb59d38ce428c4e6bb55d366
7-day price299 snapshots · 3 regime
19¢7¢ current
Apr 84¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 5¢+2¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.89IY 3542.3%Close-time delta 3711h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Iowa, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Iowa Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 11784.1%
IY (No) 66.8%
Adj IY 5892%
CRI 13
Overround -0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)11784.1%
IY (No)66.8%
Adj IY5892%
CRI13
Overround-0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:23:41 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x1d019f06ed90710a2defd8d71224a1d36a30293aeb59d38ce428c4e6bb55d366 yes 100

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