What is the current probability for "Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 14¢ (14% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on May 31, 2026. 39 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 5725.4% and 151.7% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 14% probability that Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?. This contract trades at 14¢ on Polymarket, closing May 31, 2026.

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14¢

Bid/Ask 14/15¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $423.228·OI $5,533.516·Closes May 31, 2026·39d remaining

0x1e2be46b881243375590de9881beab1a9bc202761320b45b2f304a84990c7e50

7-day price109 snapshots · 44 regime

26¢14¢ current

Apr 812¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

The 2026 Indian Premier League (IPL) T20 cricket competition is scheduled to take place from March 26 to May 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Indian Premier League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Indian Premier League based on the rules of the competition (e.g., they do not advance to the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 Indian Premier League season is permanently canceled or there is otherwise no winner declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be the IPL (https://www.iplt20.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 5725.4%

IY (No) 151.7%

Adj IY 2863%

CRI 6

Overround -0.0%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	5725.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	151.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2863%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	6	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.341

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 8:21:21 PM

Observability lowEvent type sports

Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x1e2be46b881243375590de9881beab1a9bc202761320b45b2f304a84990c7e50 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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