Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?. This contract trades at 23¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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23¢
Bid/Ask 22/24¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0.99·OI $19,436.211·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0x326df6a10a6cdd74bdc1ef77906037e90b1f1d6dd1fdcbf6580aea62de094a96
7-day price211 snapshots · 3 regime
23¢23¢ current
Apr 913¢Apr 16

Resolution rules

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment. This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 483.0%
IY (No) 43.1%
Adj IY 242%
CRI 3
Overround -0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)483.0%
IY (No)43.1%
Adj IY242%
CRI3
Overround-0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.477
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:51:34 AM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:38:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x326df6a10a6cdd74bdc1ef77906037e90b1f1d6dd1fdcbf6580aea62de094a96 yes 100

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