Will Mike Kennealy win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 9% probability that Will Mike Kennealy win the 2026 Massachusetts Governor Republican primary election?. This contract trades at 9¢ on Polymarket, closing September 1, 2026.

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9¢
Bid/Ask 8/10¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $228.58·OI $16,329.294·Closes Sep 1, 2026·132d remaining
0x36796df689a799e37af4db95c281bebd0f0fb370c25c0874a39a2184d92f7231
7-day price62 snapshots · 3 regime
12¢9¢ current
Apr 99¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 8¢+1¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.88IY 748.5%Close-time delta 10287h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2792.7%
IY (No) 27.3%
Adj IY 1396%
CRI 10
Overround 0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2792.7%
IY (No)27.3%
Adj IY1396%
CRI10
Overround0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:25:12 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x36796df689a799e37af4db95c281bebd0f0fb370c25c0874a39a2184d92f7231 yes 100

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