Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?

Prediction markets currently give a 52% probability that Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?. This contract trades at 52¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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52¢
Bid/Ask 51/53¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $2,857.077·OI $2,717.225·Closes Jun 30, 2026·69d remaining
0x39a2759958a776fcf8599230426077863d94bf39da37d6a871497669c653c467
7-day price67 snapshots · 12 regime
76¢52¢ current
Apr 1632¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price on any trading day between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 487.2%
IY (No) 571.8%
Adj IY 280%
CRI 1
Overround 5.6%
LAS 0.02
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)487.2%
IY (No)571.8%
Adj IY280%
CRI1
Overround5.6%
LAS0.02

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:27:20 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x39a2759958a776fcf8599230426077863d94bf39da37d6a871497669c653c467 yes 100

Related concepts

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