Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Polymarket, closing November 3, 2026.
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5¢Bid/Ask 5/5¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $42·OI $17,227.273·Closes Nov 3, 2026·195d remaining
0x43cedce4a6af0136d37d53408fc965388baee3145db6da72a5b5da8d2746ced3
7-day price20 snapshots · 4 regime
9¢5¢ current
Apr 83¢Apr 20
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
0¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:23:51 PM
Observability lowEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM
Trade
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sf trade 0x43cedce4a6af0136d37d53408fc965388baee3145db6da72a5b5da8d2746ced3 yes 100