Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 16% probability that Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 16¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.
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16¢Bid/Ask 3/29¢·Spread 26¢·Vol $13.701·OI $475.386·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0x4e163905cb466ebc0774daaff40d91ce7513e0172ce02f3bb4a6725c2ffc3206
7-day price1538 snapshots · 2 regime
48¢16¢ current
Apr 86¢Apr 21
Cross-venue
Also on kalshi at 8¢(Δ +8¢)
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Indicators
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
26¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:48:25 AM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:38:18 AM
Trade
View on polymarket →
sf trade 0x4e163905cb466ebc0774daaff40d91ce7513e0172ce02f3bb4a6725c2ffc3206 yes 100