What is the current probability for "Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 8¢ (8% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on July 1, 2026. 70 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 5982.7% and 45.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 8% probability that Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?. This contract trades at 8¢ on Polymarket, closing July 1, 2026.

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8¢

Bid/Ask 7/8¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $207,601.132·OI $341,342.769·Closes Jul 1, 2026·70d remaining

0x4e65282819c98c6aed529f357fbf5983b1ae9407a3c25bd50fe97b2906df68f9

7-day price31 snapshots · 129 regime

12¢8¢ current

Apr 87¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 5982.7%

IY (No) 45.2%

Adj IY 5235%

CRI 12

RV 816%

VR 1.04

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	5982.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	45.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	5235%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	12	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	816%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	1.04	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	0.5/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	-0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.13	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.341

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 8:20:59 PM

Observability lowEvent type sports

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:08:17 PM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x4e65282819c98c6aed529f357fbf5983b1ae9407a3c25bd50fe97b2906df68f9 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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