Will Martin St Louis win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?
Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Will Martin St Louis win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026. St.
Analysis
St. Louis is priced at just 3¢ with an extreme 16,293% implied yield on the Yes side, reflecting near-zero liquidity ($0 in 24h volume) and a wide 4¢ spread that signals minimal market confidence in price discovery. The 72-day window to the June 30, 2026 close and $558k open interest suggest this is a speculative position rather than an actively traded contract, with the unusually high yield likely driven by the combination of low probability and illiquidity rather than genuine edge. The Cliff Risk Index of 32 indicates meaningful binary risk, and the absence of cross-venue pricing data limits arbitrage opportunities to validate whether 3¢ represents fair value or mispricing.
Also on kalshi at —¢
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Jack Adams Award. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Jack Adams Award, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x567f298c8bc3ed65ce6711c19f1a4d39f883d8cdbe96793eac458feee1ab25b9 yes 100