Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?

Prediction markets currently give a 30% probability that Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?. This contract trades at 30¢ on Polymarket, closing May 19, 2026.

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30¢
Bid/Ask 29/30¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $184.34·OI $17,176.576·Closes May 19, 2026·27d remaining
0x58b3694d040e4daee5afcb3123e369664f4e472906f53586c3e70bbca8ef9042
7-day price177 snapshots · 3 regime
36¢30¢ current
Apr 928¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3158.6%
IY (No) 580.2%
Adj IY 1579%
CRI 2
▶ Full indicator table (4)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)3158.6%
IY (No)580.2%
Adj IY1579%
CRI2

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.477
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:59:05 AM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:53:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x58b3694d040e4daee5afcb3123e369664f4e472906f53586c3e70bbca8ef9042 yes 100

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