Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 12% probability that Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 12¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2026.

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12¢
Bid/Ask 11/12¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $24,179.306·OI $208,360.124·Closes Dec 31, 2026·253d remaining
0x6bd56627aa21311850825edb27e53434a0e17a4f782be0086bc07f71eee00d0d
7-day price3 snapshots · 128 regime
13¢12¢ current
Apr 1210¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1057.3%
IY (No) 19.7%
Adj IY 485%
CRI 7
LAS 0.08
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1057.3%
IY (No)19.7%
Adj IY485%
CRI7
LAS0.08

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:27:01 PM
Observability lowEvent type political
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x6bd56627aa21311850825edb27e53434a0e17a4f782be0086bc07f71eee00d0d yes 100

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