Simple Functions

Will Sofia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Prediction markets currently give a 2% probability that Will Sofia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?. This contract trades at 2¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2025.

█░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
2¢
Bid/Ask 0/3¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $0·OI $4,895.189·Closes Dec 31, 2025
0x6fa54feda4e5c559bfc1069161a916dc4863e072938fcf263f31f5f9db0498da
7-day price29 snapshots
2¢2¢ current
Apr 80¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at —¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78Close-time delta 8775h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 11:04:07 PM
Observability mediumEvent type cultural

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x6fa54feda4e5c559bfc1069161a916dc4863e072938fcf263f31f5f9db0498da yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →