Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?

Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Polymarket, closing June 30, 2026.

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4¢
Bid/Ask 3/5¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $979.667·OI $24,307.54·Closes Jun 30, 2026·69d remaining
0x74ef80070ef90dfac1da8107c7e2f2aee1bf880df88a968a542411553ce30e81
7-day price130 snapshots · 41 regime
7¢4¢ current
Apr 82¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 12700.6%
IY (No) 22.0%
Adj IY 6350%
CRI 24
Overround 2.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)12700.6%
IY (No)22.0%
Adj IY6350%
CRI24
Overround2.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:51:40 AM
Observability lowEvent type financial
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:38:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x74ef80070ef90dfac1da8107c7e2f2aee1bf880df88a968a542411553ce30e81 yes 100

Related concepts

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