Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 68% probability that Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 68¢ on Polymarket, closing May 14, 2026.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x77f4da92e95343c2debdc8cc0ea577d0065f63f566974bc41152548b7af068fc yes 100