Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?

The Patriots' Super Bowl odds are priced at an extremely depressed 5¢, implying just a 5% championship probability, yet the Yes side offers an extraordinary 1988.9% annualized yield—a classic deep-value setup for a team with legitimate playoff infrastructure. With $486.3M in open interest against modest $203.7K daily volume, liquidity is notably thin relative to position size, creating potential slippage concerns for larger bets; the tight 1¢ spread masks this underlying illiquidity. The neutral regime score and flat 7-day price action suggest the market has settled on this valuation, but the 349-day timeframe to resolution means significant roster and injury developments could dramatically shift these odds before the 2027 season concludes.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

Regime

Trade