Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?

Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Polymarket, closing November 3, 2026.

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6¢
Bid/Ask 5/7¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $809.67·OI $26,538.454·Closes Nov 3, 2026·195d remaining
0x8377be7973fda37582973f6533625ff035bd7ece986a9762d12b1cfb81baf057
7-day price71 snapshots · 5 regime
7¢6¢ current
Apr 91¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2932.9%
IY (No) 11.9%
Adj IY 1466%
CRI 16
Overround -0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2932.9%
IY (No)11.9%
Adj IY1466%
CRI16
Overround-0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:51:11 AM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:38:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x8377be7973fda37582973f6533625ff035bd7ece986a9762d12b1cfb81baf057 yes 100

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