Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Prediction markets currently give a 59% probability that Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81. This contract trades at 59¢ on Polymarket, closing January 1, 2027.

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59¢
Bid/Ask 57/60¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $3,336.871·OI $11,276.906·Closes Jan 1, 2027·254d remaining
0x89b80e42d59b2fd03f3ee592ab7e0114b2d96beb6fa14ba51cfce53b5f6279df
7-day price269 snapshots · 110 regime
67¢59¢ current
Apr 828¢Apr 22

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Indicators

IY (Yes) 95.8%
IY (No) 215.6%
Adj IY 99%
CRI 2
LAS 0.08
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)95.8%
IY (No)215.6%
Adj IY99%
CRI2
LAS0.08

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 12:53:22 AM
Observability lowEvent type financial
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 12:38:18 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x89b80e42d59b2fd03f3ee592ab7e0114b2d96beb6fa14ba51cfce53b5f6279df yes 100

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