Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Emma rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Polymarket, closing December 31, 2025.

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5¢
Bid/Ask 2/8¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $0·OI $1,473.952·Closes Dec 31, 2025
0x97325b97d308eabc864fca05ecfe612cbb35d881628a6cae8bab586b42fbc746
7-day price419 snapshots · 1 regime
46¢5¢ current
Apr 84¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 7¢-2¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.78IY 1911.6%Close-time delta 8775h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.409
Spread
6¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 11:04:51 PM
Observability mediumEvent type cultural

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x97325b97d308eabc864fca05ecfe612cbb35d881628a6cae8bab586b42fbc746 yes 100

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